Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 9.157012 10.514099 11.960888 13.613462 15.444041 17.404923 19.659333
2025-02-23 6.746300 8.512835 10.535250 13.003245 15.914007 19.217787 23.230130
2025-03-02 5.167101 7.129812 9.530658 12.640102 16.513757 21.131886 27.000779
2025-03-09 4.136544 6.208479 8.902781 12.583631 17.393658 23.373416 31.265944
2025-03-16 3.302389 5.382468 8.251509 12.372245 17.997889 25.259018 35.167316
2025-03-23 2.903899 5.082716 8.242362 12.973016 19.665051 28.565146 41.031934
2025-03-30 2.458027 4.628719 7.939955 13.105275 20.668372 31.018415 45.877824
2025-04-06 1.963194 4.003877 7.290403 12.642644 20.762253 32.200041 49.030600
2025-04-13 1.549300 3.431703 6.635273 12.080262 20.630880 33.014747 51.667571
2025-04-20 1.394289 3.290704 6.655616 12.558886 22.065528 36.111601 57.622302
2025-04-27 1.335142 3.319255 6.960558 13.511835 24.272918 40.421407 65.471033
2025-05-04 1.238492 3.254945 7.089818 14.172901 26.047057 44.150704 72.600638
2025-05-11 1.063113 3.001328 6.857910 14.218473 26.871722 46.540291 77.940098
2025-05-18 0.875884 2.681076 6.457958 13.928533 27.122019 48.056222 82.035102
2025-05-25 0.729273 2.419760 6.134777 13.739176 27.515845 49.799421 86.528392
2025-06-01 0.626934 2.242125 5.954526 13.790651 28.310864 52.195403 92.091929
2025-06-08 0.523460 2.033744 5.678118 13.626632 28.708474 53.955089 96.712459
2025-06-15 0.492316 2.021128 5.829626 14.313286 30.655731 58.317219 105.572299
2025-06-22 0.431496 1.904436 5.728140 14.478217 31.658980 61.146329 112.068622
2025-06-29 0.344209 1.676282 5.329445 13.989190 31.417540 61.866813 115.178969
2025-07-06 0.267352 1.452193 4.900491 13.385833 30.909305 62.093171 117.467962
2025-07-13 0.248073 1.431018 4.986013 13.909254 32.588266 66.148484 126.180440
2025-07-20 0.249273 1.490511 5.291962 14.945200 35.311943 72.107892 138.206047